Kansas City at Las Vegas

Defending champion Kansas City is on a 20-8 spread run and is outscoring opponents by +103 points, tops in the NFL. QB Patrick Mahomes (25 TDs, 1 pick) leads an almost unstoppable, speedy attack that is second in the NFL in yards and points (31.8 per game), No. 1 in passing (294.7 yards per game), while the defense is solid at #14 in yards allowed and sixth in points (20.3 per game). They've only lost once this season, and it was to this Raiders team at home, so a little revenge is on tap as this is a division game. Kansas City is 37-16 ATS against teams that allow over 24 points per game, and that's the big weak spot with this young Las Vegas defense. The defense is #20 in yards allowed, #24 in passing yards given up, and #18 in points surrendered (26.8 per game). Las Vegas is 36-55 ATS as a home dog while Kansas City is 9-1 ATS versus winning teams, 24-9-1 ATS on the road, and 19-6-1 ATS against AFC West opponents. Play Kansas City.