Kansas City at Las Vegas

Kansas City has watched its playoff hopes go up in smoke the last three weeks as the once 7-4 Chiefs have now dropped three straight and stand at 7-7. It would virtually take a miracle to make the play-offs. Oakland has just been awful, getting shutout for the third time this season last week, this time at home 20-0. It creates an interesting situation for us though. Here is a Kansas City team that, even when it had something to play for, was unable to get it done for several straight weeks. The offense has struggled mightily, especially against good defensive teams. And if Oakland has a calling card it is their #4 rated defense. Here is what KC has done on the road vs. some of the top defenses in the league: They scored just 10 against Miami's #3 ranked defense. They put up just 9 against SD's #8 ranked defense, and they scored just 6 against what was the #1 ranked defense at the time in Denver. They even struggled at home, as they scored just 10 against Balt's #1 defense, and 17 against this same Oakland team. They won that game by just 4 points. They have scored 10 or less six times this season and here they are favored by a touchdown on the road - a place they have averaged just 8.5 ppg vs. similar defenses. They have only managed to average 15.5 ppg in all of their last six games, home included. There is another very strong signal on this game. We have a system dating back to 1992 that fits this game, and it has won 83% of the time. It favors the underdog and in these games the underdog has not only coverd but has won outright 67% of the time! We will gladly play against a team scoring at the rate of 8.5 ppg in similar situations, one that has lost 3 straight, and already played their last meaningful game of the year.