Kansas City at Houston

It has been quite a ride for these teams. Houston has been through numerous QBs due to injury, and not only had to overcome that, but a poor 1-4 start to their season as well. The Texans are 7-2 in their last nine games, and have found some offense, scoring 30+ in their last two games. That may sound like a winner, but the Chiefs are the story of 2015 in the NFL. Kansas City opened the season an even worse 1-5, and on top of it lost their best offensive player in Jamaal Charles for the season. Most teams would of crumbled at that point, but Kansas City went on to close the regular season on a 10-0 run. They have been scoring 27.8 points per game in the stretch, and have won eight of the ten games by seven points or more. The Chiefs have been the more offensively consistent team. While both of these teams are playing very well, Brian Hoyer has a career NFL passer rating of just 78.6 as a home dog, winning just two of seven. Alex Smith brings a very competent 95.8 passer rating with him as a road favorite and a log that reads 14-8. His playoff QB rating is 108.6 with his team averaging 32.3 ppg, and his lone start in Houston left him with a 118.6 passer rating. I think the Chiefs are the way to go here, as the QB often has the say in the winner and they have a big edge in this one. Houston has played to a 28-12 mark to the OVER as a dog in their last 40, and Hoyer is 13-7 to the OVER in his career as a dog. Andy Reid coached teams are 82-60 straight-up on the road. Since arriving in KC, Reid is 23-6 straight-up following a win. Take both Kansas City on the moneyline and the OVER.