Kansas City at Denver

The Denver Broncos opened a quick 24-0 lead in their opener vs. Indianapolis last week, but before all was said and done they hung on for a 31-24 win. Peyton Manning was efficient, but at 7.2 yards per attempt it was not the explosive offense we saw from Denver last year, especially against a weak Colts defense. After scoring 31 points or more in 10 of their first 12 games a year ago, the Broncos have now scored more than 31 points in two of their last seven, and it took teams like Houston and Oakland to allow them to do it. Kansas City got caught looking ahead to this one by an improved Tennessee team that beat them 26-10. Kansas City has this one circled after starting 9-0 and losing to Denver in two of their next three games, but they were both competitive games as they lost by 7 and 10 points. The number here in this one certainly is not reflective of how the Denver offense, though still prolific, is not as potent without Wes Welker in their last seven games. The Chiefs hung with that potent version and surely can hold their own here to stay in touch and get UNDER a very inflated number. The Chiefs have actually fared better on the road, losing here last season by just 7, and they are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine roadies. The Broncos have not been as effective of late at home, covering just one of their last five. The Chiefs, coming out defensive after suffering a double-digit home loss are 10-1 to the UNDER in their last 11. This will be  a physical division game, one that has seen just one of the last seven meetings get OVER the total. Take the points on Kansas City and play the UNDER.