This pick was released to clients on January 03, 2025 at 10:18AM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City at Denver

January 5, 2025
img4:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Kansas City is treating this as a bye. Star QB Patrick Mahomes won't play, so Carson Wentz will make his first start of the season. The Chiefs were in a similar situation last season in the finale and rested several plays, scoring 13 points against the Chargers. While this game means nothing for KC, it is pivotal for Denver, which has a chance to clinch a playoff berth as the No. 7 seed. The defense is eighth against the run, fifth in points allowed, 14th on third down, and fourth in the red zone. Denver covered the first meeting at Kansas City, 16-14, as a +7 dog against Mahomes. Rookie QB Bo Nix (25 TDs, 12 INTs) has been impressive all year with the Broncos on a 10-4 spread run. Play Denver. 

1.5 units on Denver -10.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs
0
0
0
0
0
Denver Broncos img
14
10
7
7
38
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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