Kansas City at Denver

The Broncos will take the field here with their playoff fate in their own hands. And they'll have to do it without their best offensive threat, Brandon Marshall, who was once again benched for insubordination. Last year the Broncos were 8-5 in the same situation with their playoff fate hinging on a single win to close out a playoff spot, and they lost all three games by a total of 58 points. I’m not sure if you can trust this team in a crucial spot. Here they were this year at 8-4 and needing just one win in the last four to seal the deal, and they have dropped three straight to find themselves in this spot. Denver is down to their last chance as the noose tightens once again. The Chiefs season is over and would like nothing more than to beat a heated division rival and knock them out of the playoffs. Kansas City has been competitive losers as they have lost their last three, but none by more than 7 points. They have also come up huge on the road as a big dog. They are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as a double-digit road dog. The choking Broncos are just 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 as home chalk and in crucial spots in the last two years have now proceeded to go 0-6! The Broncose have gone 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games vs. teams at .250 or worse. I expect KC to be loose here and Denver relatively tight. This is too many points and this dog has bite.