A pair of talented defenses clash in the freezing outdoors in Denver, which should be around 36 degrees. Kansas City's defense allows 21 points per game, good for #14 in the NFL. The offense doesn't have the same firepower it showed in September, especially on the road scoring 17 and nine points in losses at Dallas and the New York Giants. And Andy Reid will start rookie quarterback Patrick Mahomes as their playoff seeding is already set. Kansas City is 10-3 UNDER the total against losing teams, plus 35-16-1 UNDER after getting 250+ yards passing in their previous game. They face an anemic Denver offense that is #26 in points scored (17.7 points per game). The Broncos have used three quarterbacks this season, and they've combined for 17 TDs and 20 picks while being sacked 47 times. Denver wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) and wide receiver Cody Latimer (thigh) have missed practice this week. The Broncos' strength is on defense at second in the NFL in yards allowed and third against the run. Denver comes off a loss at Washington scoring 11 points, and the UNDER is 11-5 when following a straight-up defeat. This shapes up as a battle of punts and field goals, so take the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
NFL
Kansas City at Denver
December 31, 2017
4:25 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 38 +100 (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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