This pick was released to clients on August 13, 2012 at 2:04PM ET.
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Kansas City at Denver

December 15, 2002
img4:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Another must win game for both teams. One is going up (has won by a combined score of 98-10 the last two games) while one is going down (has lost four of last five to essentially drop out of the playoff hunt). And, the team with the momentum is in a revenge situation and has a Super Bowl winning coach. To top it off, this team is getting 3.5 points. Go figure.

 

The Chiefs have shown they can blow out just about any team. Their record doesn't do them justice. With three games to go, they have already tied the NFL record of eight games scoring over 30 points. Their defense has stepped up, to say the least, since they lost to the Broncos back in week eight. They have held four of the league's best offenses (Oakland, San Francisco, Buffalo and St. Louis) to 17 points or less. They have gone from allowing 33 points per game in their first eight to 15 points per game in their last six.

 

Denver is struggling across the board. Key positions are inconsistent or consistently bad (quarterback & kicker). Their defense has been horrible since Oakland riddled them on Monday night in week 10.

 

My power ratings indicate that Kansas City should be favored in this game and my intuition agrees. Kansas City has too many weapons and they will key on Shannon Sharpe this time.

 

These teams usually play tight games and Kansas City wins half the time they travel to Denver. If KC doesn't win this game (which I think they will), they will surely keep it under a field goal.

4 units on Kansas City +3.5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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