Kansas City at Cleveland

The Browns’ offense may have looked better vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week, but the scoreboard looked pretty similar to what we have come to expect - 14 points scored by the Browns. That makes 16 of the last 23 games played by the Browns show 14 points or less scored by the offense. It also showed the fourth game in the last five that the "improving" Browns’ defense allowed 17 or less. The Chiefs held a very potent offense in San Diego to 14 points. Despite scoring 21 themselves they netted just nine first downs for the entire game. Take their 94 yard punt return away and they scored just 14 on offense. If that kind of special teams play (as well as a 56-yard TD run) is what it takes for them to get to 21, then they are going to fall short more often than not. The Chiefs play UNDER early very often, and their last 19 September games have gone 14-5 to the UNDER. They are also on a 26-9 UNDER run during the first two weeks of the year. The Browns have followed a loss by going 35-17-3 to the UNDER in their last 55. I like this one to stay UNDER the total.