Kansas City at Cleveland

The due factor is firmly against Kansas City as it consistently pulls off wins, which is why the Chiefs aren't a more significant favorite against the Browns. The Chiefs are on a 0-7 ATS run, including 0-5 ATS against AFC opponents. They have 1-5 ATS in their past six games against Cleveland, and the Browns have 13-6 ATS in their past 19 home games, 5-1 ATS at home versus teams with winning road records. Kansas City's past six wins have a margin of victory of 3.7 points, and it will not be surprising if the Chiefs look past this game with Houston, Pittsburgh, and Denver on deck. They only outgained the Chargers 298-288 while winning 19-17 on a last-second field goal. Cleveland outgained the Steelers 300-267 last week, and the Browns defense is #13 against the pass. Kansas City might eke out another win, but take the points with the Browns.