This pick was released to clients on December 01, 2016 at 8:00AM ET.
img NFL

Kansas City at Atlanta

December 4, 2016
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Chiefs went to Denver last week and made a statement as they outlasted the Broncos on the road and came away with an overtime win. The Chiefs now head to Atlanta which is a critical game for them as they will have a huge showdown with Oakland the following week, and that game will mean a lot less if they don't first take care of business in Atlanta. This game is going to be a contrast of offense vs. defense. The Falcons have an elite offense, the Chiefs aren't found near them, too, in any offensive areas. The Chiefs are sneaky good on defense, they may give up some yards, but they are tough to score on. The testiment to that is they have allowed less than 20 points to eight of their last 10 opponents. The Falcons have scored well in a lot of games, but it should be noted they scored just 23 vs. Denver and 15 vs. Philadelphia, a pair of teams that defend much like the Chiefs. QB Matt Ryan in his career is 34-24 to the UNDER in games with a total from 45.5 to 52.5. Alex Smith is 37-24 to the UNDER in his career against a defense that allows 5.7 to 7.7 yards per pass attempt. Andy Reid has been a road master in his NFL coaching career at 49-30 ATS as a road dog, 92-60 ATS in all road games. Atlanta is just 43-64 ATS off a home win and 2-14 ATS off a home win in their last 16. Make the play on Kansas City and the UNDER.

2 units on Kansas City +5.5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 49 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Kansas City Chiefs img
6
14
7
2
29
Atlanta Falcons
10
6
0
12
28
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get my free NFL picks and predictions.

Join 409,392 Subscribers!