Jacksonville at Washington

I know that it is early in the season, but sometimes you have to take the game for what it is, and not when it is. Last week Jacksonville opened up a 17-point lead as an 11-point underdog and still did not cover. Why didn't they cover? They gave up a fumble return for a TD in the final 1:30 of that game. Without that rarity, they cover the number relatively easily. Looking closer at that game, Philly ran 77 plays, three of which went for a combined 142 yards and subsequent TDs. Their other 74 plays averaged 3.6 yards per play, which defensively speaking is utter domination of a potent offense. The Jags also collected five sacks in the game. So, this team needs to fix a couple of things, and avoid the big play, and they can compete defensively. They won't be contending with an offense this week that has so many skill-position weapons. Last week against a Houston team that went 4-12 last year, Washington scored in the first nine minutes of the game and never scored a point the rest of the way. The threat of RG3 running the ball, which made Washington so hard to defend in his rookie season, is gone, at least for now. He carried three times for two yards, and he was sacked three times, so his effectiveness outside of the pocket is diminished at this point. This game fits the strongest situation I have that remains in perfection. It is in part based on both teams playing off a big loss. Since 1989, this situation has never failed as it is an amazing 0-37 ATS, which in this case goes against Washington. Take the points on Jacksonville.