Jacksonville at Tennessee

Jacksonville is a road favorite in the finale with a division title on the line, tied with the Texans and Colts at 9-7. They were favored in their last road game, too...and lost 30-12 at Tampa Bay. This is not an elite defense, ranked 20th in yards allowed and 15th in points given up. The Jaguars are 4-19 ATS after allowing 200 or fewer total yards in the last game, plus 15-30 ATS after allowing four or fewer yards per play in the previous contest. Tennessee is well-coached and will play hard in the role of spoiler. They've lost all of their road games but one, but are 4-4 at home. In their last five home games, they beat Atlanta and Carolina, while losing three others by three points each time. And the Titans are 17-5 ATS at home after scoring nine or fewer points in the last game. Play Tennessee.