This pick was released to clients on August 10, 2012 at 3:26PM ET.
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Jacksonville at New York

November 3, 2002
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

After a great start (3-1, 26 points per game), the Jags have dropped three straight. The last loss was a humiliating defeat at the hands of the expansion Houston Texans. Anyone remember what happened the week after Houston beat Dallas for the Texans’ other win of the season? That’s right. A humiliated Dallas team came out more than fired-up and beat Tennessee by 8 points as a 3 point dog. I expect a similar reaction by Jacksonville this week.

The Jaguars need to the right a ship that has severely veered off-course. They picked the right team to do it against. The Giants are averaging a pathetic 10 points per game over their last five games. That’s less than the next worse team – Cincinnati! To make matters worse for the G-Men offense, they lost WR Ike Hilliard for the season last week against the Eagles. The Giants score a TD an NFL-worst 1 out of every 4 times in the red zone (in contrast, the NFL average is 54%).

Meanwhile, the Jags have the required weapons in Brunell, Taylor and Smith. They are 8th in the league in rushing and 7th in the league in scoring.

Expect Jacksonville to turn things around with a win in this game.

4 units on Jacksonville +3 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS
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