This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2023 at 10:16AM ET.
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Jacksonville at New Orleans

October 19, 2023
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Jacksonville has won and covered three in a row after defeating Indianapolis 37-20 last week with Trevor Lawrence throwing two TD passes and Travis Etienne adding two more scores. The defense picked off Gardner Minshew three times and recovered a fumble and the Jaguars now lead the NFL with 15 takeaways this season. Jacksonville is 10-3 ATS dating to last season and it is #15 in scoring defense allowing 20.3 points per game and #3 in rush defense yielding only 75.3 yards per game. New Orleans has gone UNDER 12 consecutive games dating to last season and it has lost three of its past four games, including 20-13 to Houston last week. The Saints are 1-4-1 ATS this season and they have scored more than 20 points just once against hapless New England. The Saints are 0-7-2 ATS on Thursdays against non-divisional opponents and they scored only 13 points against the Texans despite Derek Carr throwing for 353 yards. Jacksonville has covered six straight road games and it is 7-1 UNDER after allowing more than 350 total yards its previous game. Lawrence (knee) is a game-time decision. C.J. Beathard will start in his place if he's unable to go. Either way, take the Jaguars and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Jacksonville +2.5 (-115) (risk 1.5 to return 2.8)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 40 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Jacksonville Jaguars img
7
10
7
7
31
New Orleans Saints
3
3
3
15
24
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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