Jacksonville at Kansas City

Talk about a cold front moving in! Kansas City goes from 70 degrees to 37 this weekend. Warm-weather Jacksonville is in town and new coach Doug Pederson has gotten some ball control on offense with the Jaguars ninth in the NFL averaging 146.8 yards rushing, but just No. 18 in scoring as they chew up yards and the clock. Jacksonville is 19-7 UNDER the total against winning teams, 12-3 UNDER versus opponents that average 24+ points, plus 22-10 UNDER on the road against teams that average 6+ yards per play. Kansas City leads the NFL in scoring (30.4 ppg) but just 24.2 per game at home, while the defense is allowing 23.5 points at home. The Chiefs are 49-30 UNDER the total as home chalk, 39-20 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points, plus 31-16 UNDER at home versus pass defenses that surrender 235+ passing yards per contest in the second half of the season. Take Jacksonville/Kansas City UNDER the total.