Jacksonville has won three in a row, which means this game is not a must-win. The Jaguars will play for the AFC South title and a playoff spot next week at home against Tennessee, both tied for first place with 7-8 records. Jacksonville has a losing road mark and this is its fourth road game in six weeks. That included duds at Kansas City (a 27-17 loss) and at Detroit (40-14 defeat). The Jaguars have been favored three times this season...and lost all three straight up! In those three games as chalk, Jacksonville's offense averaged just 13.3 points. The Jaguars are 11-26 ATS on the road after a double-digit win, plus 28-46 ATS after outgaining an opponent by 100+ total yards in the last game. Houston keeps playing hard for this coaching staff, off of a 19-14 win at Tennessee as an underdog. In the previous two weeks, they lost at Dallas, 27-23, as a 17-point dog and to the Chiefs, 30-24, as a +14 dog. The Texans have won nine straight over the Jaguars, including a 13-6 win at Jacksonville in Week 5. Play Houston.
This pick was released to clients on December 29, 2023 at 10:25AM ET.
NFL
Jacksonville at Houston
January 1, 2023
1:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Houston +4 (-107) (risk 1.5 to return 2.9)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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