Indianapolis at New York

This is a complete mismatch on both sides of the ball. The public is on the Colts again here this week but sometimes the public gets things right. The Giants had a three week stretch vs Atlanta, Houston and Washington in which they scored 105 points. But, all of their other games have seen them score a total of 49 points (just 12.5 per game). Indianapolis is off their worst game in recent memory, torched by Big Ben for 522 yards, and oddly enough despite his heroics this was a game in the 4th quarter with Indy down just 8 points. This came on the heels of the Colts allowing less than 200 passing yards in four straight games. I liked Pitt last week and made them a big pick. It was a situational play. In the end, I`m not putting too much on the fact that the Colts defense got shredded. It happened but it won’t continue. The fact is Andrew Luck has thrown for over 300 yards in six straight games, so even if the defense has another bad game, Indy will be there because the Giants defense is awful. The Colts are 13-3 ATS the past 2.5 seasons vs. losing teams and 12-3 ATS during that span vs. teams that allow 24+ points per game. New York won two of their games thanks to nine opponent turnovers. So, unless Indy implodes and gives the ball away numerous times, this game will not be competitive. Make the play on Indianapolis.