Indianapolis at Miami

Two of the worst defensive teams in football meet in sunny Miami in this one. Indianapolis ranks #28 in the NFL in yards allowed and #29 in points. Indy is allowing 4.8 yards per rush, second worst in NFL. The strength of the Colts is offense behind QB Matt Hasselbeck (nine TDs, five INTs) and great targets led by QB T.Y. Hilton (1,016 yards). This game is on natural grass, but the indoor Colts are on a 5-0 run OVER on grass, as well as 5-1 OVER on the road. They will move the football on this awful Miami defense that is #30 in the NFL in yards, and #26 in points allowed. The Dolphins are being outgained by 75 yards per game - second worst in NFL. The Fins are winless in their last seven games vs. losing teams in late-season play. Dating back to 2013, they are also 1-8 ATS after a game in which they allowed 400+ yards. Miami is 7-3 OVER the total against a team with a losing record, and five of the last six meetings have sailed OVER. Take the Colts and the OVER.