Indianapolis at Los Angeles

This total reflects reputation and perception more than current reality. When you think of Indianapolis and San Diego, you think of offense. The Colts offense has been a machine over the last five years. They have not finished lower than 5th best in each of the past five years. The Chargers, after three straight years with a top 10 offense, slipped out last year. But this year is different! This year the Colts are in the bottom half of the league and the Chargers are ranked 14th in total offense. Totals in this range in the NFL are reserved for top offenses, not the perception of top offenses. The Chargers have had their moments but five of their last six games have gone UNDER. They have managed to score 20 or less in four of them, and just 15 ppg in their last two. The defense has also allowed only 15 ppg in the last two as well. The Colts have scored 24 or less in seven of their ten games. Last year they scored 24 or more in 10 games, a mark they can't achieve this year even with six games remaining. This total is way too high, and isn't based on what these teams are doing this year. I'll back the UNDER.