Indianapolis at Kansas City

The oddsmakers have hung a high posted total for this matchup even though Indianapolis has gone UNDER in six of its last eight games following its 21-7 win at Houston. Kansas City ended the regular season with a 35-3 domination of Oakland and it went UNDER by 14.5 points. The Colts have gone UNDER in nine of their last 10 versus teams with winning records and five of their last six against AFC teams. Also, the UNDER is 13-6 in the Colts' last 19 playoff games and 9-4 their last 13 road games overall. The Chiefs have a 49-22-1 UNDER record their last 72 home games.  Kansas City is 7-1 at home this season and the Colts are 5-4 on the road. Patrick Mahomes has passed for 5,097 yards and 50 touchdowns with only 12 interceptions and a 66.0 completion percentage. Tyreek Hill has been his favorite receiver with 87 catches for 1,479 yards and 14 TDs. Andrew Luck is at the top of his game and has thrown for 4,593 yards with 39 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. However, the Colts do have road losses at the lowly New York Jets and Jacksonville. Andy Reid has been one of the best coaches in NFL history with extra time to prepare with a 17-3 regular season record when following a bye week.  The Colts will keep it relatively close, but go with the Chiefs on the moneyline plus the UNDER.