Indianapolis at Jacksonville

Indianapolis has lost five of its seven road games, yet they are in the role of favorite despite having no shot at the postseason. The Colts are 2-6-2 ATS against losing teams, plus 5-11-1 ATS after scoring 30+ points in their previous game. Indy is ranked #22 in the NFL in total offense, #27 in passing, and is on a 25-9 run UNDER the total in December games. Jacksonville is home from a two-game road trip, including a 20-16 win at Oakland as a +7.5 dog, so they can give the hometown fans a season-ending holiday present with a good performance. Coach Doug Marrone gave a heartfelt apology to the fans this week in what has been a disappointing campaign. Reports are he'll probably be back next season, but a good showing by his team can remove any doubt. Jacksonville's pass rush is strong, tied for seventh in the league in sacks (44). In Week 11, the Jaguars held the Colts to 125 net passing yards and sacked QB Jacoby Brissett three times. Jacksonville is 7-1-1 ATS against Indy, including four straight covers in this stadium. With the UNDER 12-5 when these division rivals clash, back the home dog in a defensive duel. Play Jacksonville and the UNDER.