Indianapolis at Houston

When you think of the Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans, the first thing that comes to mind is offense. But, that can mislead you. The Colts own the #1 ranked defense in points allowed (15.7 per game). The Texans have actually played some pretty good defense of late. After allowing 24 points or more in four of their first five games, the Texans have not allowed more than 21 in any of the last five games, having averaged just 17.6 ppg allowed in the five games. At the same time, an offense that went for 21+ in seven straight games and 24+ in six of the seven has gone for just 17 in back-to-back games. One of those low-scoring games was against the Colts just two games back where they also held the Colts’ offense to 20 points. The Colts got in a shootout vs. New England, but they have scored 20 or less in three of their last four. Houston is suddenly a defensive team, leading to six of their last seven going UNDER the total. The Colts have played nine of their last twelve against the AFC to the UNDER as well. The Texans have now gone seven straight to the UNDER with a total of 47.5 or higher, and 12 of their last 16 overall have gone UNDER the total. I like this one to stay UNDER the total.