Indianapolis at Houston

It's been a very interesting year for both of these teams. Indianapolis ran the table against San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver, but is just 2-2 otherwise. Then we have Houston who is 2-5, but has allowed fewer yards per game than any other team. Yet, the Texans defense allows 27.7 points per game. That is because of all the offensive mistakes that led to scores. That won't continue forever, and if the defense keeps playing the way they have, those scoring numbers against them are going down fast. The illusion has forced the oddsmakers' hands here, and this total is simply too high. The Colts defense is solid, and they have played seven straight to the UNDER on grass where their speed is slowed. Houston has played four straight to the UNDER after their bye. And with the last five in this series having all played UNDER, there's only one choice here. Make the play on the UNDER.