Indianapolis at Houston

The Texans keep improving. They would have upset the Titans as a touchdown underdog last week if it were not for Superman Steve McNair. The Texans play especially well at home. Their last six home losses have come by less than a touchdown. They are 5-2 ATS at home this season. Indianapolis sure has motivation in this game. They need the win or a Tennessee loss to win their division and they are looking to atone for an embarrassing loss last week to the Broncos. I think, however, that Houston will play extremely well in this game, and well enough to cover the large spread. Houston doesn’t usually have long streaks of playing poorly. To lose this game would mean ending the season on an 0-4 streak, something they haven’t done all season. The Texans are 9-2 ATS off back-to-back losses. Indianapolis should win this game but I think Houston covers the large number.