img NFL

Indianapolis at Green Bay

October 19, 2008
img4:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A pair of 13-win teams from a year ago that have struggled in '08 clash in Green Bay in this one. The Colts are fortunate to be 3-2. While they certainly deserved last week's win, they had two earlier miracle wins at Minnesota and Houston. They are coming off a big game against the Ravens in which Manning looked like his old self. As a result, the public is swarming on them now. I don't think a team that has shown so many flaws changes that dramatically in one week. Many teams have a big week during the course of a season. But, that doesn't always mean they have turned the corner. Because these are the Colts, everyone is buying into them however after one good game. The Packers still own a 20-6 in their last 26 regular season games. Many wrote off the Packers when Brett Favre passed the torch to Aaron Rodgers. They pointed to the huge year Favre had last season, crediting him as the reason the Pack won so many games. Favre had a 95.7 QB rating with 29 TDs and 12 INTs. This may shock you, but Rodgers is having an even better year in 2008! He has a 98 QB rating with 11 TDs and 4 INTs. The Packers trouble has been running the ball and Ryan Grant is getting healthy. He has gained as many yards in the last two games as he has in his first four. I would be shocked if he didn't top the 100-yard mark against the Colts poor run defense. Peyton Manning has not been the better QB at this stage of the season when all games are taken into account. With Joseph Addai out, the Colts may have troubles on the road like they have this season. I like the Packers to win this one at Lambeau.

5 units on Green Bay +3 (-105) (risk 5 to return 5)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
T
Indianapolis Colts
7
0
0
7
14
Green Bay Packers
3
14
10
7
34
odds odds
 
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