Indianapolis at Denver

Denver doesn't get into too many shootouts as the offense isn't what it used to be when John Elway was taking snaps. Back in the Elway years, the OVER was a near-automatic play with this team. But, Denver's last 17 played here show 11-6 to the UNDER. These teams met in Indianapolis last season in a game that totaled 44 points. The Broncos defense has played tough here at home as last season the Giants came in here and scored 6, Dallas 10, and New England just 17. The Colts don't get noticed for defense, but they have held 12 of the last 17 opponents they have faced to 17 points or less. Denver has now played 11 of their last 14 following a straight-up win to the UNDER, and 11 of the last 15 at home have failed to reach the total. I'll call for this one to come up short of the total and play the UNDER.