Indianapolis at Dallas

Dallas won a big game last week on the road at Philadelphia to take over the division lead, but it came with a huge price. DeMarco Murray suffered a broken hand and will need surgery. The Cowboys are trying to find a way to have him in the game, but how effective he can be remains to be seen, if he can even play. Murray has rushed for 1,687 yards on the season and he is one reason why Tony Romo has been effective as Dallas has finally established a running game, but that may not be the case Sunday vs. the 10-4 Colts. This has been a historically bad time of year for Dallas who is now 3-19-1 ATS from week 13 out as a non-division favorite, which includes 0-11 ATS off a win. Many forget Indianapolis is 10-2 in their last 12 games and even though they got the win last week 17-10, it was their lowest scoring offensive game of the season. That may sound like a bad thing, but since Andrew Luck has been around, the Colts offense does not stay down long as they are 13-0 ATS following a game where they scored less than 21 points since Luck took over. Dallas is 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite. Make the play on Indianapolis.