This pick was released to clients on December 01, 2022 at 8:24AM ET.
img NFL

Indianapolis at Dallas

December 4, 2022
img8:20 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It doesn't matter if Indianapolis goes with QB Matt Ryan or Sam Ehlinger. This offense isn't very good, 25th in total yards and yards per rush (4.1), 28th on third down (36%), and the third-worst in scoring (15.8 ppg). They come off of a 24-17 loss to Pittsburgh after getting zero total yards in the first quarter. The Colts are 40-19 UNDER the total against teams that run for 130+ yards per game in the second half of the season. In addition, NFL teams like the Colts that are outscored by 4+ points per game are 51-20 UNDER after scoring 17 points or less in two straight with a total between 42.5 and 49 points. The Dallas offense is Top 10 in rushing, while the defense is seventh in yards allowed, fifth on third down (34%), and second in points surrendered (17 per game). And for the season, they're allowing 16.8 points per game at home. Take Indianapolis/Dallas UNDER the total.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 44.5 -109 (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Indianapolis Colts
10
3
6
0
19
Dallas Cowboys img
7
14
0
33
54
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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