It doesn't matter if Indianapolis goes with QB Matt Ryan or Sam Ehlinger. This offense isn't very good, 25th in total yards and yards per rush (4.1), 28th on third down (36%), and the third-worst in scoring (15.8 ppg). They come off of a 24-17 loss to Pittsburgh after getting zero total yards in the first quarter. The Colts are 40-19 UNDER the total against teams that run for 130+ yards per game in the second half of the season. In addition, NFL teams like the Colts that are outscored by 4+ points per game are 51-20 UNDER after scoring 17 points or less in two straight with a total between 42.5 and 49 points. The Dallas offense is Top 10 in rushing, while the defense is seventh in yards allowed, fifth on third down (34%), and second in points surrendered (17 per game). And for the season, they're allowing 16.8 points per game at home. Take Indianapolis/Dallas UNDER the total.
This pick was released to clients on December 01, 2022 at 8:24AM ET.
NFL
Indianapolis at Dallas
December 4, 2022
8:20 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 44.5 -109 (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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