Indianapolis at Buffalo

Buffalo is the real deal this season as it finished 13-3 with an 11-5 ATS record. The Bills have won their last six straight games and it would have been 10 in a row if not for a Hail Mary loss at Arizona. Buffalo is #2 in the league in total yards of offense per game and #2 in points scored with 31.3 per game. The Bills didn't let up in the season finale putting up 56 points against a good Miami team and Josh Allen threw three touchdown passes and went 18 of 25 for 224 yards in playing just the first half. Allen has thrown for 4,544 yards and 37 TDs with only 10 interceptions with a 69.2-percent completion rate. The defense is #14 in yards allowed and it really has stepped up the second half of the season as its sack rate and QB hits have almost doubled. Indianapolis was fortunate to make it into the playoffs and ironically it was the Bills' win over the Dolphins that got them there. The Colts bounced back from a meltdown against Pittsburgh to defeat the hapless Jaguars 28-14 while not covering as a 15.5-point favorite. The Colts haven't gotten the money their last three games and they are 2-5 ATS their last seven playoff road contests and 4-10 ATS their last 14 versus AFC teams overall. Buffalo has covered eight in a row and it has gone UNDER four of its last five January games. The Colts are 13-6 UNDER as road underdogs. Play the Bills and the UNDER.