Indianapolis at Buffalo

Indianapolis isn't going to the postseason but the Colts have been competitive. In the last five games they upset Houston on the road (20-14) as a +6 point dog and lost three other games by 1, 3, and 4 points. In those close losses they were underdogs of +11, +3 and +10. QB Jacoby Brissett has kept Indianapolis competitive for much of the season and has seven touchdown passes over the past four games. The Colts are 32-13 ATS when following a straight-up loss, plus 27-13-1 ATS after a spread loss. They head to Buffalo and the Bills have nothing but bad news, on a 1-4 SU/ATS skid that has pretty much killed their playoff hopes. The offense ranks #26 in yards, #23 in points (18.9 points per game). QB Tyrod Taylor is back at practice after a knee injury but still may not play. QB Nathan Peterman may get another chance to start but was a catastrophe in his only start three weeks ago with five interceptions in the first half against the Rams. Injuries continue to mount as WR Jordan Matthews was just placed on injured reserve with a knee injury and tight end Charles Clay is questionable, also with a knee injury. Buffalo's defense is #24 in yards allowed, #25 in rush yards surrendering 120.4 yards per contest. Buffalo comes off a 23-3 home loss to the Patriots and the Bills are 8-20-1 ATS following a double-digit loss at home. Play the Colts.