Indianapolis at Atlanta

Looking at this game and seeing Andrew Luck vs. Matt Ryan when both are on their game would probably produce a serious amount of points. But, this game is not shaking out that way. Andrew Luck is injured and struggling, and 30-year-old Matt Hasselbeck is at the helm for the Colts. Meanwhile, after the Falcons came out of the gate appearing to be the best offense in the NFL, averaging 32.4 points per game in their 5-0 start, the Falcons offense has gone on hiatus as they have averaged just 16.8 ppg over their last four and are just 1-3. That is a huge drop off. In the last four, they haven't come within 11 points of the opening five game average. In the last six games, Indianapolis has not scored more than 27 points, and the Falcons defense has stepped up in the absence of offense, allowing just 15.7 ppg in their last three. Atlanta is now 15-5-1 to the UNDER in their last 21 games, including 9-1-1 to the UNDER vs. a losing team. The UNDER gets the call in this one.