Houston at Tennessee

For a 4-7 squad, Houston has been very competitive, losing four games by seven or fewer points. They've been outscored on the season by just two points. Houston faces a run-oriented Tennessee team and matches up well on the D-line at seventh in the NFL in rush yards allowed. The Texans are 13-3-1 ATS after getting fewer than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Houston's offense is #13 in the NFL in total yards, and sixth in points scored. Houston pounded the Titans when they met earlier this season, 57-14 as a home dog. Tennessee may be in first place in the division but the Titans have been outscored on the season by 27 points. The offense is #20 in yards per game, and #17 in points (22 points per game), while the defense is #23 in points surrendered. Tennessee is on an 18-42-4 spread run, including 9-23-3 ATS at home and 16-34-3 ATS against losing teams. The Texans have covered seven of the last eight meetings and they are 41-24 UNDER the total on the road in the second half of the season. Don't look for lot of points and back the dog in this divisional battle. Back Houston and the UNDER.