Houston at New York

Houston had its nine-game winning streak snapped in a 24-21 loss to Indianapolis. Fortunately for the Texans, this week they get the New York Jets, who broke a six-game losing streak by beating the hapless Buffalo Bills 27-23 by outscoring them 14-3 in the fourth quarter. However, the Jets are 0-4 ATS their last four against teams with winning records and 2-5 ATS their last seven games overall and are 1-4 ATS when following a win. Houston has covered five of its last seven overall and five of six versus the AFC. The Texans are #12 in the league in total offensive yards compared to #26 for New York and Houston is #13 in yards allowed compared to #23 for the Jets. The Texans are allowing only 88.2 rushing yards per game and gave up just 2.2 yards per carry against the Colts. Houston QB Deshaun Watson has thrown only two interceptions his last seven games, which is a major improvement from his first six games. Watson went 27-of-38 for 267 yards with no interceptions against Indianapolis, but he needs to get rid of the ball quicker as he was sacked five times. The Texans have gone UNDER in back-to-back games and under Bill O'Brien, this team is 14-5 to the OVER in that situation. The Jets have overperformed expectations, going 7-3 to the OVER in thier last ten games. This total is too low. Go with the Texans and the OVER.