Houston exploded for 53 points against the Falcons and that in turn totally inflated this week's posted total. Deshaun Watson threw for a career-high 426 yards with five touchdowns and finished 28-of-33 while Will Fuller had 217 yards receiving as the Texans toyed with Atlanta. Indianapolis figured out how to contain Pat Mahomes, who suffered four sacks and was hit many more times although it was obvious that he wasn't nearly 100 percent health-wise as he still is dealing with a left ankle injury. The Chiefs gained only 36 yards on the ground and it won't get any easier against J.J. Watt and company. The Texans had gone UNDER in three straight games before facing Atlanta and Kansas City went UNDER by 23.5 points against the Colts. The UNDER is 5-0 in the Texans' last five games after an ATS win and the road team has covered five of the last six meetings. Houston is 5-2-1 ATS its last eight road games and 7-3-1 ATS its last 11 versus AFC teams and the Texans are also 16-5 UNDER their last 21 against the AFC. The Chiefs are on a 51-24-1 UNDER run at home and they are 4-1-1 UNDER their last six October games. Take the Texans and UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on October 13, 2023 at 11:32AM ET.
NFL
Houston at Kansas City
October 13, 2019
1:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Houston +4.5 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 55.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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