Houston needs some stability at QB, and finally may have some as the battle between Ryan Mallett and Brian Hoyer continues. Hoyer will get the nod off a strong performance last week, as the Texans head to Jacksonville to take on the Jags. Jacksonville is a lot more settled at QB, but Blake Bortles continues to battle a shoulder injury, and Jacksonville has lost 3 straight games. Jacksonville, in the role of a favorite here doesn't really make a whole lot of sense. This is a team that was 2-14 a year ago, and off 3 straight losses, and while improved, it isn't showing up in the win column, so they still have a long way to go. Last week they gave up 183 yards on the ground to a pretty poor Tampa Bay offense, so the attack may be better, but the defense has some work to do. I think both teams find the end-zone a lot more than expected here, and Houston has done a pretty good job of late facing losing teams at 5-2 ATS in their last 7 against them. Jacksonville a lowly 15-34-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing over 350 yards in their previous game, and at 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 at home, still does not command respect or trust to take care of business on their own turf. Texans mustering additional offense vs losing teams, at 5-1 to the over in their last 6. Make the play on Houston and the over.
This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2015 at 6:06PM ET.
NFL
Houston at Jacksonville
October 18, 2015
1:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Houston +1.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 42.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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