Houston at Jacksonville

Many thought this would be the season that the Jacksonville Jaguars would turn the corner, perhaps even contending for a playoff spot in the weak AFC South. Instead its playing out like so many of the recent Jaguars' seasons... another loser. The Jags have not had a winning record in eight seasons, and they appear to be headed for their ninth loser n a row after starting the season 2-6. Despite the bad news, this team has made some progress in the running game. They have been slightly above average in generating 4.3 yards per carry vs. a schedule of teams that average allowing 4.1. Jacksonville's defense has allowed 26.9 points per game this season while Houston's has allowed 28.3 points per game on the road. The weakness in the Houston defense has been against the run where they allow 4.4 yards per carry vs. teams that average just 4.0. The Jaguars churned out a season high 205 yards on the ground last week, and it did help the passing game as they threw for 244 yards as well. The problem for Jacksonville was not moving the ball, it was four turnovers that held them to just 14 points. And, that is where we find the value in this one. Houston has run for over 400 yards themselves over the last three games, and should find some room in this game. Jacksonville is 35-20 to the OVER in their last 55 games after outgaining their last opponent by 100 yards or more. In their last 16 games vs. losing teams, the Texans are 11-5 to the OVER. Make the play on the OVER.