Houston at Indianapolis

The points have appeared to come free and easy for the Indianapolis Colts this season. But,  if you take a closer look they don't come so easy in all cases. The Colts have played five games vs. teams with a losing record and have piled it on to top the 40-point mark in four of the five. They have averaged a stunning 38.8 points per game against these bad teams. But, in the eight games vs. teams that currently have a winning record, that average has dropped by over 12.5 points per game to 26.2 ppg. That is a huge difference as they will take on a Houston team that has been playing the defensive side of the ball with elite status over their last four games, allowing just 15.8 ppg. I don't think that this one is going to be lighting up the scoreboard as expected, and the reality is that the Colts are 17-6 to the UNDER in their last 23 inside the division where teams know the offense and build their defenses to stop it. Houston has seen their last five games at Indy all play UNDER the total as well. This one stays UNDER.