Houston at Buffalo

Matt Schaub is having a great year but he may be without Andre Johnson here. If Johnson does play, he may not be up to speed. This could be a tricky spot for Houston as Buffalo has the third ranked pass defense and they have a knack for picking off opposing QBs. This team kept an even hotter Drew Brees from finding the endzone. The Bills can be had on the ground, but unfortunately for Houston, the offensive line simply can not create running room for Steve Slayton. I doubt they will be able to exploit the Bills weakness effectively. Ryan Fitzpatrick has been an upgrade over Trent Edwards, and he is doing the right thing by getting the ball to the most talented player on offense in Lee Evans. He should be able to move the chains against a Texans pass defense that made Alex Smith look good. The Texans are an offensive team. That generates line value on the other side as the public loves that type of team. But are they ready to be better than a FG road choice? Their franchise history says “no” as they have been road chalk just twice in their history - losing both games outright. They are also 6-18 ATS in team history coming off a home win and 4-16 ATS on the road coming off a win. I like Buffalo to keep this very close.