This pick was released to clients on January 17, 2024 at 7:31PM ET.
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Houston at Baltimore

January 20, 2024
img4:32 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Houston has been in playoff mode for several weeks while many of the Ravens' starters haven't played for three weeks as several of them sat out the regular-season finale. The Texans have won three in a row after blowing out Cleveland 45-14 and advancing in the playoffs. C.J. Stroud became the youngest rookie to win a postseason game after throwing for 274 yards and three TDs and the Texans defense did its part intercepting two Joe Flacco passes for scores. Houston is 7-2 ATS its past seven games as an underdog, 8-3 ATS overall on the road and 8-2 ATS against teams with winning records. Stroud may be a rookie, but he's performing better than most veterans and showing no signs of being intimidated. He got plenty of experience playing in big games while at Ohio State, including the College Football Playoff semifinal last year. The Ravens are 1-5 ATS their past six home playoff games and 8-17 ATS overall as home favorites of 3.5-10.0 points. The teams met the first week of the season and Stroud went 28 of 44 for 242 yards and no interceptions in his first NFL game. Lamar Jackson threw for 169 yards and no TDs and a pick and the game stayed UNDER by 9.5 points. The Texans are 11-7 UNDER, including 6-3 UNDER their past nine games. The Ravens are 22-9 UNDER as favorites and 7-0 UNDER their past seven playoff home games. Under John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 52-39 UNDER as a favorite of -3.5 to -9.5 and 21-8 UNDER in January games. Take the Texans ATS, lay a half-unit on the moneyline, and bet the UNDER as a Max Play

1 unit on Houston +9.5 (-106) (risk 1 to return 1.94)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Houston +380 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 2.4)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 44 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
PUSH
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Houston Texans
3
7
0
0
10
Baltimore Ravens img
3
7
7
17
34
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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