Green Bay at Washington

On the surface this looks like an easy Green Bay pick but that's exactly why we're getting excellent value on the home dog. Joe Gibbs has had a couple of weeks to prepare for this one. Good thing because Mike Sherman, after taking over the playcalling, has the Green Bay offense clicking. Offensive coordinator Tom Rossley, recovering from heart surgey, may take a bit longer to recover than originally planned (wink, wink). Favre learned this week that his wife has breast cancer. This follows news of his brother-in-law's death three weeks ago and his father's death last year. Does this guy haever catch a break? No matter - none of this seems to affect Favre's play. But, Green Bay's revived offense will be facing the league's number one defense. The Redskins have the #1 ranked defense? Yes! They are allowing just 234 yards per game and have held their opponents out of the end-zone in half of their six games this year. Granted, Washington has played some weaker teams but their defense is good. Clinton Portis ran for 171 yards against the Bears two weeks ago and he should have some success against a somewhat pourous defense. Washington needs this game and Joe Gibbs knows it. He'll have his team prepared for this one. Road favorites that had a great rushing game last week fail to cover the spread about 70% of the time in their next outing. Also, home puppies of 3 or less when facing a team that's off two blowout wins are 11-0 ATS recently. Bet 55 to win 50 on the Redskins at +2.