This pick was released to clients on January 17, 2024 at 7:32PM ET.
img NFL

Green Bay at San Francisco

January 20, 2024
img8:15 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

I was on Green Bay for the upset last week, but the fun for them stops here. Big Jordan Love fan, but the Niners are just too good. San Francisco was #3 in scoring offense (28.9 per game) and #3 in scoring defense (17.5 per game) while finishing with the best record in the NFC and earning a bye in the first round of the playoffs. Brock Purdy has thrown for 4,280 yards and 31 TDs with 11 interceptions and in his most recent game he was 22 of 28 for 230 yards and two TDs and no picks against Washington. The 49ers are 24-8 ATS their past 32 games against NFC opponents and they have covered their past four playoff home games, going 6-0 ATS in divisional playoff rounds. Also, San Francisco is 20-7 ATS its past 27 January games and 10-4 ATS overall following a loss. Christian McCaffrey has 21 touchdowns, Deebo Samuel 12 TDs and Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle both have more than 1,000 receiving yards for the 49ers. Green Bay is 1-6 ATS after totaling more than 350 yards its previous game and the Packers will have a tougher time against the Niners defense than they had against Dallas as San Francisco also destroyed the Cowboys earlier in the season. The 49ers have the defensive edge in this matchup, their past four divisional playoff games have stayed UNDER, and six of seven playoff games overall have gone UNDER. Green Bay allowed 20.6 points per game in the regular season. Take the 49ers as a Max Play, and play take the UNDER (Max Play)

2 units on San Francisco -9.5 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 51 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Green Bay Packers
3
3
15
0
21
San Francisco 49ers img
0
7
7
10
24
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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