Green Bay at New Orleans

The Saints were extremely impressive in week one, putting up 26 points against a very good TB defense and winning outright as a 5.5 point dog on the road. Deuce McAllister rushed for over 100 yards, helping Saints fans forget Ricky Williams in a hurry. Meanwhile, the Pack slightly underperformed, needing an OT field goal to squeak out a win against heavy underdog Atlanta. What does all of this mean for this week? A lot...   Even after last week's performance, the betting public isn't giving New Orleans much respect making them nearly a field-goal underdog at home. In addition, the public loves Brett Favre and Green Bay. This can sometimes translate into "betting blinders" for backers of popular teams like GB. I can smell "free" value with a Saints team that now has what looks to be a poised, maturing quarterback in Aaron Brooks (260 yards and 2TD vs. TB) who is looking to prove he is worth every penny of the 6-year deal he just inked. Green Bay yielded 180 yards on the ground to the Falcons last week which has McAllister's mouth watering. Throw in the fact that home dogs generally fare well in the NFL, especially coming off an upset win the week before (67% against the spread) and we have a game worth investing in. Look for the Saints to pull the upset for the second week in a row.