Green Bay at New England

This is a brutal situational spot for Green Bay, off a crushing loss at the Rams on the West Coast and now they have to fly to the East coast to face Belichick, Brady and the Patriots. Green Bay is winless on the road this season and plays its fourth road game in the last six contests. The defense is a soft spot at #17 in points allowed, and just traded former Pro Bowl safety Ha Ha Clinton-Dix to Washington. The Packers are on a 3-7 spread run, plus 3-7 ATS against winning teams. New England always seems to struggle in September, then Belichick makes adjustments and they get it rolling. That's been the case in 2018 with the Patriots on a 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS run after playing poorly the first three games in September. New England is #11 on offense in total yards, fourth in points scored (29.9 per game). The Patriots are on a 36-16 ATS run overall and have covered seven straight games at home against teams with losing road marks. They are also on a sizzling 35-15-2 ATS run at home. Back New England.