Green Bay at Minnesota

If Minnesota fans didn't have enough to be excited about here in their home opener vs. a bitter division rival, the Vikings open a new stadium in prime time on national TV, and the place is going to electric! The Packers under Aaron Rodgers have been known as an offensive powerhouse. And, the Green Bay offense scored 28 points last week, and that may give the appearance that the Pack offense is back after struggling last season. After all, they have a slimmer Eddie Lacey, and Jordy Nelson is back in the fold and of course, the mighty Aaron Rodgers under center. Is all good in Green Bay? A closer look at the 28 points shows some disturbing numbers, which look a lot like last year. The Packers were out gained by the Jags last week. Aaron Rodgers threw for just 199 yards on 34 attempts, performing worse than last year when he had his worst year as a pro. The Packers running game produced just 95 yards on 25 carries. They now play on the road for the second straight week against a top five defense that's going to be fired up. Rodgers has a losing record in his career vs. strong defenses (those allowing 13 to 19 points per game), where he is just 7-8, throwing for just just 6.8 yards per attempt. Adrian Peterson was stopped cold last week, but he has had some monster games vs. Green Bay, and it isn't very often he is stopped two weeks in a row. Under head coach Mike Zimmer, the Vikings are 25-9 ATS including 14-5 as an underdog. Nelson and Rodgers may do some damage as the season progresses, but the Pack offense has not been good since the start of last year and until I see otherwise, they are overrated in my book. Take the points on Minnesota.