Green Bay at Minnesota

Green Bay is in desperate need of a win in this rematch of the 29-29 tie in September. The Vikings come off a 25-20 loss to Chicago while being outgained on the ground 148-22. Kirk Cousins was 30-of-46 for 262 yards and two touchdowns, but was picked off twice. The game went OVER by a point after Minnesota had gone UNDER its previous two games. The Packers had three straight UNDERS before their 27-24 loss to Seattle on Thursday night when they managed only 48 rushing yards. Green Bay is a respectable #12 in the league in yards allowed (349.1 per game) and Minnesota is #14 in yards gained (363.7). Six of the last eight meetings have stayed UNDER, including the last four at Minnesota. The underdog has covered six of the last eight meetings and the Packers have covered the number in four of their last five when following an ATS loss dating to last season. The Vikings have gone UNDER in 19 of their last 26 games versus NFC North teams and four of their last five home contests. The edge goes to the visitor in this matchup. Play the Packers as my NFL November Game of the Month and also take the UNDER.