Green Bay at Minnesota

The Green Bay packers had some concerns when they lost Jordy Nelson for the season, but those appeared erased in a 6-0 start. Green Bay has since gone 0-3, but a pair of losses were to unbeaten teams on the road, and they fell asleep last week at home vs. Detroit. I think the real Packers stand up this week in Minnesota. Green Bay is getting healthy, and with Aaron Rodgers at QB slumps are not going to last very long. Minnesota has been point spread darlings  at 8-1 ATS on the season, but they better be prepared for an angry and focused Green Bay team this week. The Packers had some bad defensive games, and prior to that led the league in fewest points allowed. They got back some of that swagger last week in holding the Lions to fewer than 300 total yards. Minnesota is better on the defensive side of the ball, and have a limited offense unless Adrian Peterson can break free as he did last week. Minnesota may be 7-2, but their reality that is they have been out-gained from the line of scrimmage on the season, as their strong defense has had to operate with an even weaker offense. The Packers may struggle to score a ton of points, but the defense has proven to be very good vs. a limited offense. The Packers own a 39-22 ATS mark within the division in their last 61 games, and have not been as explosive offensively this season in the absence of Nelson. They are also 5-1 to the UNDER in their last six. The Vikings are now 18-7-1 to the UNDER in their last 26 including 7-1 UNDER in their last eight within the division. Take Green Bay and the UNDER.