Green Bay at Minnesota

The Minnesota Vikings certainly aren't the team they were a year ago, and we have faded them plenty this season. But at the same time, this team hasn't been awful at home. On the road, the Vikes are 0-5 SU and ATS. But at home, they are 3-1. Their defense has held opponents to just 17.2 ppg here in the Dome. As a home underdog, they are 21-12-1 ATS since 1990. They are also 7-2 ATS as a home dog in division games. While it may seem they are ready to pack it in for this season, you can bet they are going to be up for a game against the hated Packers. In seven home games as an underdog vs. the Packers, Minnesota is 5-2 straight up! The Packers play a lot of close games. Five of their last seven have been decided by 4 points or less. They are just 2-6 in their last eight games favored by a FG or less. On the road this season, they are scoring just 16.5 points per game. I like Minnesota plus the points. I also like the UNDER. The Packers road games this season have averaged 30.5 total points. With Minnesota holding foes to just 17.2 per game here at home, Green Bay is not going to have an easy time finding the endzone. Over the past two seasons, Green Bay is 7-0 UNDER on the road when coming off a home win. The Vikings have now played seven of their last ten home games to the UNDER. Over the past three seasons, they are 8-1 UNDER at home when their last game went UNDER. I like Minnesota and the UNDER here.