Green Bay at Los Angeles

Green Bay is a big dog even with star QB Aaron Rodgers at the helm. He's having another brilliant season with 12 TDs, one pick, and threw for 425 yards in a 33-30 victory two weeks ago. The Packers' offense is fourth in the NFL in total yards (421 per game) and passing yards, and is coming off their bye week. This is the biggest the Packers have been an underdog since 2014 when they were eight-point dogs to the Seattle Seahawks in a 28-22 final. Green Bay was also an underdog to the Arizona Cardinals at +7 in 2015 for a 26-20 final. NFL road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that complete 60% of their passes or better after gaining seven or more passing yards per attempt in three straight games are 36-15 ATS. They face an undefeated L.A. Rams squad where the oddsmakers have to keep making them big favorites. The Rams are 16-39-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 150 yards passing in their previous game, plus 6-15-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 250 total yards in the last contest. The Packers have covered five in a row against the Rams and this shapes up as a close one between two star QBs. Grab the points on Green Bay.