Green Bay at Indianapolis

First-place Green Bay opened as the underdog, and they've won both times as a dog this season, winning at Minnesota (43-34) as a +2 dog and a 37-30 victory at New Orleans as a +3 underdog. QB Aaron Rodgers (26 TDs, 3 INTs) is having a terrific season as the offense is sixth in total yards and passing, third in points (30.8 per game), while the defense is Top 10 in yards allowed. The Packers are 8-3 ATS versus winning teams, plus 48-23-1 ATS following a spread loss. Indianapolis is off an emotional win at Tennessee in a battle for first place in the AFC South. 38-year old QB Philip Rivers (11 TDs, 6 INTs) doesn't have dazzling stats, and the team hasn't had a difficult schedule. Two games ago they had a showdown at home with Baltimore and flopped in a 24-10 defeat. And QB Aaron Rodgers is 76-50 ATS against winning teams in the second half of the season. Play Green Bay.